Biden has solid lead in Wisconsin, narrower edge in Pennsylvania: Reuters/Ipsos poll

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FILE PHOTO: U.S. Democratic presidential candidate and former Vice President Joe Biden reacts to cheers from supporters at a campaign stop in Johnstown, Pennsylvania, U.S., September 30, 2020. REUTERS/Mike Segar/File Photo

By Jason Lange

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Democratic presidential challenger Joe Biden led President Donald Trump by a solid margin in Wisconsin and maintained a narrower advantage in Pennsylvania with just over a week until Election Day, Reuters/Ipsos opinion polls showed on Monday.

Reuters/Ipsos is polling likely voters in six states – Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina, Florida and Arizona – that will play critical roles in deciding whether Trump wins a second term in office or if Biden ousts him.

Below is a state-by-state look at Reuters/Ipsos findings, based on the online responses of likely voters, which include responses from some who cast ballots ahead of the formal Nov. 3 Election Day. Early voting has shot to record levels amid the coronavirus pandemic:

WISCONSIN (Oct. 20 – Oct. 26):

  • Voting for Biden: 53%
  • Voting for Trump: 44%
  • Biden’s advantage is marginally wider than his 51%-43% lead the prior week.
  • 33% said they already had voted.
  • 52% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 38% said Trump would be better.
  • 47% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 45% said Biden would be better.

PENNSYLVANIA (Oct. 20 – Oct. 26):

  • Voting for Biden: 50%
  • Voting for Trump: 45%
  • Biden’s lead is marginally wider than in the prior week when he was up 49%-45%, an advantage that was on the edge of the survey’s credibility interval.
  • 21% said they already had voted.
  • 50% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 42% said Trump would be better.
  • 50% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 43% said Biden would be better.

FLORIDA (Oct. 14 – Oct. 20)

  • Voting for Biden: 50%
  • Voting for Trump: 46%
  • Biden’s apparent lead is on the edge of the survey’s credibility interval.
  • Prior poll showed the two essentially even, with Biden at 49% and Trump at 47%.
  • 21% said they already had voted.
  • 50% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 42% said Trump would be better.
  • 51% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 45% said Biden would be better.

ARIZONA (Oct. 14 – Oct. 21):

  • Voting for Biden: 49%
  • Voting for Trump: 46%
  • With the margin within the survey’s credibility interval, the race is statistically tied.
  • Prior poll showed Biden with a 50%-46% lead that was on the edge of the survey’s credibility interval.
  • 27% said they already had voted.
  • 49% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 43% said Trump would be better.
  • 48% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 45% said Biden would be better.

MICHIGAN (Oct. 14 – Oct. 20):

  • Voting for Biden: 51%
  • Voting for Trump: 44%
  • Biden was up 51%-43% the prior week.
  • 28% said they already had voted.
  • 52% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 40% said Trump would be better.
  • 48% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 45% said Biden would be better.

NORTH CAROLINA (Oct. 14 – Oct. 20):

  • Voting for Biden: 49%
  • Voting for Trump: 46%
  • Since the margin is within the poll’s credibility interval, the race is statistically tied, as it was in the prior poll when Biden had 48% to Trump’s 47%.
  • 18% said they already had voted.
  • 49% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 45% said Trump would be better.
  • 51% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 43% said Biden would be better.

NOTES

The Reuters/Ipsos opinion polls are conducted online in all six states in English, as well as in Spanish in Arizona and Florida.

  • In Wisconsin, from Oct. 20 to Oct. 26, it gathered responses from 1,008 adults, including 664 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.
  • In Pennsylvania, from Oct. 20 to Oct. 26, it gathered responses from 1,001 adults, including 653 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.
  • In Florida, from Oct. 14 to Oct. 20, it gathered responses from 1,005 adults, including 662 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.
  • In Arizona, from Oct. 14 to Oct. 21, it gathered responses from 951 adults, including 658 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.
  • In Michigan, from Oct. 14 to Oct. 20, it gathered responses from 1,001 adults, including 686 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.
  • In North Carolina, from Oct. 14 to Oct. 20, it gathered responses from 1,001 adults, including 660 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.(Reporting by Jason Lange; Additional reporting by Chris Kahn; Editing by Scott Malone and Peter Cooney)